BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Middle Tennessee St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 105 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 122.07
Conference: Conference USA Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 109.57 7 56 1A 9 ( 12- 2) Alabama -12.51 * -36.49
2 09/09/2023 Away L 150.31 19 23 1A 13 ( 11- 2) Missouri 28.24 -32.24
3 09/16/2023 Home W 120.83 35 14 1B 68 ( 2- 9) Murray St -1.25 22.25
4 09/23/2023 Home L 112.77 23 31 1A 102 ( 5- 7) Colorado St -9.30 1.30
5 09/28/2023 Away L * 106.92 10 31 1A 92 ( 8- 5) Western Kentucky -15.15 -5.85
6 10/04/2023 Home L * 112.27 30 45 1A 74 ( 9- 4) Jacksonville St -9.80 -5.20
7 10/10/2023 Home W * 120.91 31 23 1A 120 ( 3- 9) Louisiana Tech -1.16 9.16
8 10/17/2023 Away L * 132.29 35 42 1A 49 ( 13- 1) Liberty 10.22 -17.22
9 11/04/2023 Away L * 121.89 7 13 1A 93 ( 10- 5) New Mexico St -0.18 -5.82
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 141.61 40 6 1A 130 ( 4- 8) Florida Int'l 19.54 14.46
11 11/18/2023 Home W * 119.02 34 30 1A 116 ( 3- 9) UTEP -3.06 7.06
12 11/25/2023 Away L * 116.49 20 23 1A 115 ( 3- 9) Sam Houston St -5.59 2.59
Averages 122.07 24.2 28.1
Best game: 150.31 = 4 point loss to Missouri
Worst game: 106.92 = 21 point loss to Western Kentucky
Team stdev: 13.13